Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.303201 4.067144e-01 0.527151 0.675460 0.850993 1.050026 1.290613
2025-12-21 0.159879 2.771668e-01 0.436727 0.659508 0.952380 1.314576 1.786299
2025-12-28 0.088036 2.023726e-01 0.384666 0.669867 1.078872 1.619701 2.363343
2026-01-04 0.045854 1.467788e-01 0.337446 0.670078 1.185223 1.905452 2.939480
2026-01-11 0.020442 1.007566e-01 0.285475 0.646113 1.247299 2.131482 3.449750
2026-01-18 0.008145 6.974660e-02 0.245576 0.628599 1.311079 2.359636 3.973015
2026-01-25 0.003051 5.121960e-02 0.221988 0.632291 1.405346 2.635543 4.575671
2026-02-01 0.000622 3.371552e-02 0.189157 0.607379 1.444471 2.826311 5.060996
2026-02-08 0.000128 2.681944e-02 0.182352 0.634970 1.577545 3.170159 5.786256
2026-02-15 0.000002 1.911612e-02 0.166215 0.636311 1.660438 3.436054 6.402841
2026-02-22 NaN 1.670756e-02 0.169442 0.685123 1.837480 3.864046 7.281660
2026-03-01 NaN 1.343092e-02 0.165638 0.714617 1.978230 4.236939 8.086263
2026-03-08 NaN 9.631162e-03 0.154890 0.724262 2.082727 4.558492 8.830167
2026-03-15 NaN 5.941801e-03 0.137792 0.711022 2.138385 4.798978 9.455047
2026-03-22 NaN 4.085648e-03 0.130101 0.723773 2.249704 5.140981 10.252463
2026-03-29 NaN 2.513747e-03 0.119808 0.724936 2.335041 5.439677 10.987701
2026-04-05 NaN 1.151297e-03 0.103595 0.700068 2.358686 5.627444 11.546639
2026-04-12 NaN 4.624009e-04 0.090687 0.681768 2.394337 5.837144 12.146127
2026-04-19 NaN 2.000335e-04 0.084137 0.685799 2.482590 6.146908 12.919142
2026-04-26 NaN 3.201900e-05 0.071680 0.659471 2.493573 6.311047 13.451181
2026-05-03 NaN 1.237444e-05 0.071548 0.688732 2.645547 6.748293 14.454637
2026-05-10 NaN 5.051816e-07 0.066007 0.690169 2.726494 7.051489 15.236167
2026-05-17 NaN 2.568044e-07 0.070201 0.741835 2.940947 7.619242 16.480740